Tuesday, December 30, 2014

TS JANGMI (SENIANG) Update #008

 



for Tuesday, 30 December 2014 [9:43 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (SENIANG) UPDATE NUMBER 008
Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Tuesday 30 December 2014
Next Update: Tuesday Afternoon, 30 December 2014


Tropical Storm JANGMI (SENIANG) has maintained its strength while tracking across Central and Western Visayas...now starts to cross the Sulu Sea.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and mostly cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon including the Bicol Region.


Residents and visitors along Visayas and Palawan. should closely monitor the development of Jangmi (Seniang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Central and Southern parts of Negros Occidental, Masbate, Biliran, portions of Northern and Western Samar, and Sorsogon - through Tuesday evening (Dec 30).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Iloilo, Antique, Capiz, Aklan, Albay and rest of Western and Northern Samar - through Tuesday evening (Dec 30).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, southern parts of Oriental and Occidental Mindoro, Romblon incl. Tablas, Rest of Samar, Cebu, Northern Leyte and Northern Palawan incl. the Calamian Group - through Tuesday evening (Dec 30).
WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of not more than 85 kph): Negros and Panay including Guimaras Island - through Tuesday Evening (Dec 30).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Dec 30...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Jangmi (Seniang)
Location: Over Negros (near 10.2N 123.2E)
About: 75 km West-Southwest of Metro Cebu...or 45 km West-Northwest of Carcar City, Cebu
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 350 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 595 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest @ 12 kph
Towards: Sulu Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to move west to west-southwest during the next 24 hours and will maintain its west-southwest track throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Jangmi (Seniang) will traverse the Sulu Sea today through Wedenesday night. The storm shall be crossing Southern Palawan on Thursday early morning.

TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to strengthen throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph on Thursday.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Over Sulu Sea...gains strength as it turns to the west-southwest...about 125 km SSW of Cuyo Island [2AM DEC 31: 9.8N 120.9E @ 75kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further before crossing Southern Palawan...about 55 km northeast of Bataraza, Palawan [2AM JAN 01: 9.0N 118.0E @ 85kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength over the South China Sea after exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 445 km west-southwest of Bataraza, Palawan [2AM JAN 02: 8.0N 113.6E @ 85kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Dec 30, 2014
Location of Center: Near 10.2º N Lat 123.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 95 km NW of Tagbilaran City
Distance 2: 100 km N of Dumaguete City
Distance 3: 50 km ENE of Kabankalan City
Distance 4: 55 km SE of Bacolod City
Distance 5: 95 km SE of Iloilo City

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141230002556.gif

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141230000506.GIF

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/23W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS JANGMI (SENIANG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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