Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Super Typhoon NURI (PAENG) Update #007

 



for Tuesday, 04 November 2014 [8:34 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON NURI (PAENG) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Tuesday 04 November 2014
Next Update: Tuesday Evening, 04 November 2014


Super Typhoon NURI (PAENG) is about to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it started losing steam...wind speeds down to 250 kph. This catastrophic cyclone will continue on its northeasterly journey across the northern part of the Western Pacific Ocean.

Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the development of Nuri (Paeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY Nuri (Paeng)
Location: Over the easternmost part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.9N 134.6E)
About: 930 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan...or 1,310 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 250 kph near the center...Gustiness: 305 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,085 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 160 km from the Center
Past Movement: Northeast @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 17 kph
Towards: Sea South of Japan (Western North Pacific Ocean)


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

STY Nuri (Paeng) is expected to move north-northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, STY Nuri (Paeng) will exit PAR this morning and will move across the sea, south of Japan, passing well to the west of Bonin Island by Wednesday evening. Nuri will start transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone on Thursday.

STY Nuri (Paeng) will continue to weaken/decay throughout the forecast outlook as it moves over much cooler seas and unfavorable atmospheric environment. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 150 kph by early Thursday morning.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continuing losing strength as it moves across the northern part of the Western Pacific...about 1,510 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM NOV 05: 23.9N 136.2E @ 205kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to transition into an Extrattropical Cyclone while passing well to the south of Japan...about 320 km northwest of Bonin Island [2AM NOV 06: 27.9N 138.2E @ 150kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Nov 04, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 20.9º N Lat 134.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 810 km SW of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima)
Distance 2: 900 km SW of Bonin Island
Distance 3: 975 km SSE of Amami Island
Distance 4: 1325 km ENE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1330 km E of Itbayat, Batanes

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141104000938.gif

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141104001048.GIF

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/20W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on STY NURI (PAENG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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