Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO) Update #003

for Thursday, 18 September 2014 [2:16 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 12:45 PM PhT (04:45 GMT) Thursday 18 September 2014
Next Update: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Thursday 18 September 2014

Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has moved northwestward over the past 6 hours and remains a threat to the provinces in Northeastern and Extreme Northern Luzon.

This cyclone is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms along the western sections of Visayas and Southern Luzon this weekend. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms . Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region, Eastern Luzon, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Luzon, Occidental Mindoro, Eastern and Southern Bicol Region, and Samar Provinces incl. Biliran Island. Read more...

Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Rest of Visayas and Bicol, Romblon, Marinduque and Oriental Mindoro. Read more...

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea (near 14.5N 128.1E)
About: 435 km northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 420 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 800 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northwest @ 27 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 30 kph
Towards: Extreme Northern Luzon

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to cotinue moving generally to the northwest within the next 24 hours, slowing down as it turns slightly to the west-northwest through 36 hours and back to northwest on the remaining of the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be traversing the northwestern-central part of the Philippine Sea through Friday morning...and could be passing across the Calayan Group through Saturday.

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will continue to intensify during the outlook period...and could become a Typhoon (TY) on Saturday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 120 kph by Saturday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

FRIDAY MORNING: Gain strength...as it moves across the northwestern-central part of the Philippine Sea...about 145 km east-southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan [8AM SEP 19: 18.1N 123.5E @ 95kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it moves across the Calayan Group of Islands...about 75 km northwest of Calayan Island, Cagayan [8AM SEP 20: 19.9N 121.2E @ 120kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Slightly gains speed as it veers to the north-northeast...strengthens further...about 100 km east-northeast of Hualien, Taiwan [8AM SEP 21: 24.1N 122.6E @ 140kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu Sep 18, 2014
Location of Center: Near 14.5º N Lat 128.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 430 km ENE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 2: 475 km ENE of Sorsogon City
Distance 3: 490 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 4: 520 km ENE of Iriga City
Distance 5: 540 km ENE of Metro Naga
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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