for Wednesday, 28 August 2013 [7:53 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued: 12:00 NN PhT (04:00 GMT) Wednesday 28 August 2013
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 28 August 2013
Tropical Storm KONG-REY (NANDO) has maintained its strength as it continues to move generally north towards Taiwan-Yaeyama Area. Its southern circulation is still affecting and causing stormy weather across the Batanes Islands.
This storm will slightly induce the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with passing slight to moderate rains across the western sections of Central & Northern Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible heavy monsoon rains along Western Zambales, Pangasinan, La Union, Ilocos Provinces, and Bataan today. The threat of Flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Yaeyama-Miyako Islands, and Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the development of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 11:00 am today, the center of TS Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over Luzon Strait...about 175 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes or 265 km southeast of Hualien, Taiwan...currently moving north-northwest with an increased forward speed of 15 km/hr towards Taiwan-Yaeyama Area.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 95 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 85 kilometers from the center. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 500 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be extreme (380 mm).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to continue moving north-northwest to north with a gradual increase in forward speed during the next 24 hours...and turn north to north-northeasterly through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will be passing near the east coast of Taiwan late tonight...and will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or very close to the northeast coast of Taiwan on Thursday morning. By Friday morning, the storm will be moving across the East China Sea in the direction of Southern Japan.
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) will continue to intensify through the next 24 hours...and will start to weaken by 36 to 48 hours, transforming into an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows Kong-Rey (Nando) reaching its highest sustained winds of 110 km/hr on Thursday morning.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:
THURSDAY MORNING: Passing very near the northeastern coast of Taiwan as it exits PAR...intensifies to near-Typhoon strength...about 110 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [11AM AUG 29: 25.7N 122.4E @ 110kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Moving across the East China Sea...starts losing strength...becoming Extratropical...about 330 km east-southeast of Ningbo, China [11AM AUG 30: 29.5N 124.9E @ 95kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Accelerating rapidly northeastward towards Kyushu, Japan...becomes an Extratropical Cyclone...about 95 km east-southeast of Nagasaki, Japan [11AM AUG 31: 32.4N 130.8E @ 75kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-85 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Batanes Group of Islands. OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Extreme Northern Luzon including Calayan and Babuyan Islands and Southern Taiwan (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 380 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the south, west and near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed Aug 28, 2013
Class/Name: TS Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: 21.9º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 175 km NNE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 160 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 385 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 265 km SE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 5: 325 km SSW of Ishigakijima
Distance 6: 365 km SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph
Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph
Towards: Taiwan-Yaeyama Area
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [380 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 500 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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