Saturday, July 28, 2012

TD [Pre-GENER] - Update #003

 



for Saturday, 28 July 2012 [7:28 AM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday July 27 2012):

Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, SMS & iTyphoon app updates (except 12 Midnight) on TD (Pre-GENER).

TD (Pre-GENER) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (Pre-GENER) UPDATE NUMBER 003

6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sat 28 July 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/RSMC-JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012)
Tropical Depression (Pre-GENER) still organizing over the Philippine Sea...may become a Tropical Storm later today or Sunday. Its developing outer rainbands continues to spread across Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region.

This depression will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Bicol Region, Visayas and Western Mindanao this weekend. Breezy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to sometimes continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas.

Residents and visitors along Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of this TD (Pre-Gener).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Sat July 28 2012
Location of Center: 14.3� N Lat 127.6� E Lon
Distance 1: 367 km East of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 375 km ENE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 414 km ENE of Caramoan, CamSur
Distance 4: 415 km ENE of Sorsogon City
Distance 5: 442 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 6: 465 km East of Siruma, CamSur
Distance 7: 507 km East of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 8: 627 km SE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 9: 637 km ESE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 10: 700 km East of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Central Philippine Sea
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 08 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 AM PhT Sat Jul 28


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

The TD (Pre-GENER) is expected to continue moving NNW for the next 24 hours with little change in its forward speed. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will continue to move across open sea (Central Philippine Sea).

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and the depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm later today or Sunday.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Becomes a Tropical Storm (TD) as it moves NNW across the warm Philippine Sea...about 383 km East of Palanan Bay, Isabela [6AM JUL 29: 17.0N 126.1E @ 65kph].


EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DEVELOPING OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Eastern Visayas & Bicol Region. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).


TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

The other Tropical Depression (TD) over the far Western Pacific Ocean has maintained its NW track...still not a threat to land. Its center was located about 501 km ESE of Chichi Jima or 598 km ENE of Iwo To (26.4N 147.0E)...with maximum sustained winds of 55 kph and was moving NW @ 13 kph towards the sea south of Japan. To view the latest information on this storm kindly click this link.


CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies with occasional to widespread showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS and WESTERN MINDANAO. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!



External Links for TD (Pre-GENER)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
NASA TRMM Page: Vicente's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93W/imagery/rgb0.jpg

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CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

NOT YET AVAILABLE.
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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD (Pre-GENER)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
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