Friday, July 27, 2012

TD [Pre-GENER] - Update #001

 



for Tuesday, 24 July 2012 [12:37 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday July 27 2012):

Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, SMS & iTyphoon app updates (except 12 Midnight) on TD (Pre-GENER).

TD (Pre-GENER) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (Pre-GENER) UPDATE NUMBER 001

11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Fri 27 July 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/RSMC-JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012)
The broad and strong disturbance (LPA) over the Philippine Sea, east of Samar has developed into a Tropical Depression (Pre-GENER)...moving NNW slowly towards the central part of the Philippine Sea. Consolidating rainbands spreading across Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region.

This depression will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Western Mindanao and the Visayas this weekend. Breezy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to sometimes continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas.

Residents and visitors along Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of this TD (Pre-Gener).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Fri July 27 2012
Location of Center: 11.5� N Lat 129.7� E Lon
Distance 1: 469 km East of Borongan City
Distance 2: 566 km ESE of Catarman, N.Samar
Distance 3: 640 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 645 km ESE of Sorsogon, City
Distance 5: 676 km ESE of Legazpi City
Distance 6: 689 km SE of Caramoan, CamSur
Distance 7: 743 km SE of Naga City/CWC
Distance 8: 792 km SE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 9: 940 km SE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 10: 993 km SE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Central Philippine Sea
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 08 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 11 AM PhT Fri Jul 27


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

The TD (Pre-GENER) is expected to move NNW to NW for the next 24 hours with no change in its forward speed. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will continue to move across open sea (Central Philippine Sea).

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and the depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm on Saturday.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Becomes a Tropical Storm (TD) as it moves NNW to NW-ward across the warm Philippine Sea...about 445 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes, Bicol Region [11AM JUL 28: 13.3N 128.3E @ 65kph].


EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DEVELOPING OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Eastern Visayas & Bicol Region. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).


TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

Another system, Tropical Depression (TD), was spotted organizing over the far Western Pacific Ocean. Its center was located about 692 km ESE of Iwo To or 712 km SE of Chichi Jima (23.6N 148.0E)...with maximum sustained winds of 55 kph and was moving WNW @ 13 kph towards the sea south of Japan. To view the latest information on this storm kindly click this link.


CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies with passing occasional showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS and WESTERN MINDANAO. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!



External Links for TD (Pre-GENER)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
NASA TRMM Page: Vicente's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93W/imagery/rgb0.jpg

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CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

NOT YET AVAILABLE.
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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD (Pre-GENER)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
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