for Thursday, 28 June 2012 [3:30 PM PhT]
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday June 27 2012):
Currently issuing irregular 6-hrly web, email, SMS, Twitter & iTyphoon app updates on DOKSURI.
DOKSURI MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOKSURI [DINDO/07W/1206]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Thu 28 June 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #007/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2012)
DOKSURI (DINDO) downgraded to a Tropical Depression as strong upper-level winds continues to prevail over the area...Displaced rainbands of the depression continues to dump occasional to widespread rains across much of Luzon. This system is expected to pass very close to Batanes tonight.
DOKSURI (DINDO) will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Western Luzon and Western Visayas incl. Palawan. Breezy to windy conditions & cloudy skies w/ occasional to widespread rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along these areas today.
Residents and visitors along Luzon and Southern China should closely monitor the progress on Doksuri (Dindo).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 1:00 PM PhT Thu June 28 2012
Location of Center: 19.3� N Lat 123.2� E Lon
Distance 1: 138 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 2: 222 km SE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 178 km East of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 183 km SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 196 km ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Batanes Group of Islands
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 350 mm (High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm) [Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Thu June 28
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
DOKSURI (DINDO) is expected to resume moving west-northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Doksuri will pass near the Batanes Group of Islands tonight and traverse the Balintang Channel, before exiting into West Philippine Sea. The depression will make landfall over Eastern Guangdong on Saturday and will completely dissipate over land on Sunday morning.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength will be expected as the system moves across Balintang Channel and into the West Philippine Sea today until Friday. DOKSURI will start losing strength anew as it makes landfall over Guangdong Province, Southern China on Saturday.
DOKSURI is a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 890 kilometers (480 nautical miles).
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
FRIDAY MORNING: Reintenisified into a Tropical Storm (TS) as the system moves away from the Balintang Channel into the West Philippine Sea[8AM JUN 29: 21.2N 120.0E @ 65kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Downgraded to a Depression anew...makes landfall over Eastern Guangdong, ENE of Hong Kong [8AM JUN 30: 22.1N 115.5E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Rapidly dissipating over Southern China...no longer a Tropical Cyclone...just WNW of Hong Kong [8AM JUL 01: 24.0N 111.9E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Luzon incl. Metro Manila. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 350 mm (high) along areas near the center of Doksuri (Dindo). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals
Kindly visit: The official PAGASA Website to view the Signals hoisted
External Links for TD DOKSURI (DINDO)
PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0712.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: DOKSULI's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS DOKSURI (DINDO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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