Thursday, October 06, 2011

TD NALGAE [QUIEL] - Final Update

 


for Thursday, 06 October 2011 [7:46 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday Oct 02 2011):

(1) Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & android (iTyphoon) updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NALGAE (QUIEL); (2) Updated the Flash Satellite Movie of NALGAE...from 11 hours to 36 hours (see below)...that will be the last one as Nalgae moves out.

NALGAE's HRLY POSITION ESTIMATE: View Archive


NALGAE (QUIEL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


REMNANTS OF T.D. NALGAE [QUIEL/22W/1119]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 023 **FINAL**

7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thu 06 October 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #034/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
NALGAE (QUIEL) weakened considerably into a remnant Low while moving inland across Northern Vietnam & Laos.

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) over the Philippine Sea remains weak near 12.0N 129.9E...about 492 km ENE of Borongan City, Samar...moving WNW @ 15 kph. Rainbands of this system will bring scattered to widespread rains & thunderstorms across Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region & Eastern & Southern Luzon.

*This is the last and final advisory on NALGAE.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 7:00 AM PhT Thu October 06 2011
Location of Center: 17.5º N Lat 106.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 203 km NW of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 2: 364 km ESE of Vientiane, Laos
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 30 kph (15 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 40 kph (22 kts)
Present Movement: SW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Laos
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 25 mm (Low)
Rainrate (near center): 5-15 mm/hr (Light-Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) [Avg/Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): XX ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8 PM HKT Wed Oct 05


EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Northern & Central Vietnam and Laos. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 10 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 11 to 25 mm (low) along areas near the center of NALGAE (QUIEL). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD NALGAE (QUIEL)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2211.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to half day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD NALGAE (QUIEL)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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