Saturday, April 02, 2011

TD 01W [UNNAMED] - Update #001

 


for Saturday, 02 April 2011 [12:18 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday April 02 2011):

Initiating the 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 01W located off the South China Sea.


01W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Vietnam (NCHMF/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Sat 02 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/96W) off the South China Sea, SE of Vietnam has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 01W (Unnamed)...barely moving as it organizes over the warmer waters of the South China Sea. Developing rainbands spreading across the coastal areas of SE Vietnam.

Residents and visitors along Southern & SE Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 01W.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Sat Apr 02 2011
Location of Center: 9.2º N Lat 111.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 390 km (210 nm) WSW of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
Distance 2: 415 km (223 nm) SSE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 535 km (290 nm) ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards [Landfall Area]: N/A
ETA over Landfall Area: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Sat Apr 02

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 48 hours)*

01W is expected to track West to SW-ward across the South China Sea for the next 2 days. It will intensify slightly just below Tropical Storm strength around tomorrow, Sunday Apr 03. On Sunday evening, 01W will start to dissipate as upper-level winds increases over the South China Sea...losing depression status on Monday morning (Apr 4) [8AM APR 03: 9.2N 111.0E @ 55kph...8PM APR 03: 9.0N 110.8E @ 45kph...8AM APR 04: 8.6N 110.5E @ 35kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 01W is a weak Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.

EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 days)*

TUESDAY MORNING:  Dissipated into an area of Low Pressure while over water...about 460 km SE of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam [8AM APR 05: 7.9N 109.7E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

01W rainbands will affect the coastal areas of Southeastern Vietnam today. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DEVELOPING SPIRAL RAINBANDS - affecting Southeastern Vietnam. Where light to moderate winds (<35 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

Large Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA/1004 MB) drifting NNW across the Philippine Sea and is trying to consolidate. It was located near lat 13.0N lon 130.1E...about 660 km East of Sorsogon City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...moving NNW slowly. Developing Western Rainbands affecting the coastal areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Mindanao. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system remains at 50%. Click here to view current satellite visible image and flash animation.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD 01W (UNNAMED)

JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0111.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) SAT 02 APRIL POSITION: 9.3N 111.3E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DESPITE THE VERY SLOW, RECENT
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT, THE OVERALL MOTION HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK BANDING OVER
THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANT..
.(more)
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART
:


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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
:

**NOT AVAILABLE**
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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 


**NOT AVAILABLE**

> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 01W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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