Friday, September 11, 2009

TS MUJIGAE (MARING) - Update #009

 


for Friday, 11 September 2009 [6:08 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu September 10 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS MUJIGAE (MARING).


MUJIGAE (MARING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM MUJIGAE [MARING/14W/0913]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 009

6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 11 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm MUJIGAE (MARING) now traversing the Gulf of Tonkin...prepares its final landfall over Northern Vietnam later tonight.

    *Residents and visitors along Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of MUJIGAE.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: MUJIGAE's speed has doubled and is now expected to make its final landfall off the coast of Northern Vietnam later tonight or early tomorrow morning and dissipate over Northern Vietnam tomorrow afternoon.

    + Effects: MUJIGAE's main circulation continues to spread across the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam. Tropical storm conditions can be expected throughout the evening along the affected areas. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 300 mm can be expected along MUJIGAE's rainbands.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) on the verge of becoming a Tropical Depression (TD) as it accelerated westward closer to the Bicol Region...currently located near lat 12.8 lon 127.7E...or about 380 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 40 kph...forecast to move West to WNW @ 15 kph.

    This system is likely to develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 12 hours. It is then expected to bring scattered widespread rains across portions of Luzon, Metro Manila and Visayas tonight and tomorrow - becoming more frequent over the Bicol Region. Kindly click the cool
    T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Fri September 11 2009
    Location of Center: 19.7º N Lat 107.7º E Lon
    Distance 1: 125 km (68 nm) NW of Dongfang, Hainan
    Distance 2: 235 km (128 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    65 kph (35 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
    General Direction: Northern Vietnam
    Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Small/Avg
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    HKO TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Fri Sep 11
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Fri Sep 11
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri Sep 11
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 AM (18 GMT) 12 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 106.3E / 45-65 KPH (Tropical Depression) / WNW @ 13 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 12 SEPTEMBER: 20.4N 104.8E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance / LPA) / --- @ -- KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 19.7N 108.1E.
    *ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
    SHOWS THAT TD 14W HAS ACCELERATED SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS
    QUICKLY APPROACHING COASTAL VIETNAM. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT
    OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AS THE LLCC APPROACHES
    THE COAST, TD 14W TRACK SPEED WILL SLOW, WITH A FURTHER DECREASE IN
    SPEED AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. LAND INDUCED EFFECTS WILL BEGIN TO
    ADVERSELY AFFECT THE LLCC STRUCTURE, LEADING TO CONTINUED BREAKDOWN
    OF THE LLCC. DISSIPATION WILL BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, AND IS
    EXPECTED TO BE FINISHED AT 24 HOURS AS TD 14W MOVES INLAND. MODERATE
    TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES
    OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN AND HELP IN THE DISSIPATION OF TD 14W...
    (
    more)

    >> MUJIGAE, meaning: RainbowName contributed by: DPR Korea.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS MUJIGAE (MARING)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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