Saturday, September 12, 2009

TD NANDO (91W) newly-formed east of Aurora... [Update #001]

 


for Saturday, 12 September 2009 [12:14 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat September 12 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD NANDO (91W).


NANDO (91W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [91W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 (INITIAL)

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 12 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • The strong Tropical Disturbance (LPA) east of Central Luzon over the Philippine Sea has developed into Tropical Depression 91W locally named as NANDO...heading closer to Northern Luzon.

    *Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of NANDO.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: NANDO is expected to continue tracking WNW into the direction of Northern Luzon. Based on its initial forecast, this depression may intensify into a Tropical Storm before making landfall somewhere between Isabela or Cagayan tonight or early tomorrow. More forecast outlook soon.

    + Effects: NANDO's broad circulation is now spreading across the whole of Luzon including the Bicol Region. Rainy conditions can be expected throughout the day along the mentioned areas. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 30 kph with occasional widespread rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat September 12 2009
    Location of Center: 16.5º N Lat 124.9º E Lon
    Distance 1: 300 km (162 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
    Distance 2: 360 km (195 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
    Distance 3: 370 km (200 nm) NNE of Naga City
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    45 kph (25 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
    General Direction: Northern Luzon
    Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    PAGASA TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Sep 12
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Sat Sep 12
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    Now In Effect: AURORA, CAGAYAN AND ISABELA.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.


  • _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
  • > 10 AM (02 GMT) 12 SEPTEMBER: 16.5N 125.0E / WNW @ 11 kph / 55 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD NANDO (91W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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