Monday, September 14, 2009

TD NANDO (16W) - Update #005

 


for Sunday, 13 September 2009 [6:21 PM PST]

click to get RSS data
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts on NANDO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TD NANDO (16W).


NANDO (16W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [16W]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005

6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 13 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #002
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression NANDO (16W) has accelerated WSW-ward...continues to consolidate over the South China Sea, just WNW of Ilocos Norte.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of NANDO.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: NANDO is expected to become a tropical storm and track West to WNW across the South China Sea within the next 12 to 24 hours. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system reaching peak strength of 85 kph as it passes about 200 km to the south of Hong Kong and Macau on early Tuesday morning Sep 15. It shall then make landfall over the Southwestern part of Guangdong Province, just north of Hainan Island on Wednesday Sep 16 and dissipate overland, near the Northern Vietnam-China border on Thursday Sep 17.

    + Effects: NANDO's circulation has remained over the South China Sea. Its Northern, NW and Western outer rainbands of NANDO is expected to reach the coastal areas of Southern China including Hainan Island later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near its center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional chance of light rains w/ some thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, ZAMBALES, LA UNION, PANGASINAN, LUBANG ISLAND, WESTERN MINDORO, & BATAAN.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun September 13 2009
    Location of Center: 18.9º N Lat 118.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 255 km (137 nm) WNW of Laoag City
    Distance 2: 570 km (308 nm) SE of Hong Kong
    Distance 3: 610 km (330 nm) SE of Macau
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: WSW @ 28 kph (15 kts)
    General Direction: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Sep 13
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Sun Sep 13
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE AND ILOCOS SUR.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

  • JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 AM (18 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 19.9N 115.9E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 15 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 20.4N 114.3E / 75-95 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 15 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 15 SEPTEMBER: 21.2N 110.8E / 95-120 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 11 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 21.8N 108.2E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 13 KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 19.3N 117.8E.
    ^TD 16W CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE
    INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM HAS NOT UNDERGONE
    SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, BUT IS EXPECTED
    TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO LANDFALL IN
    SOUTHERN CHINA NEAR TAU 48. THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE OVER LAND NEAR
    TAU 96...
    (
    more)
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 4 PM (08 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER: 19.5N 118.6E / WNW @ 15 kph / 55 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM (T2K) TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD NANDO (16W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity
    Visit Your Group
    Give Back

    Yahoo! for Good

    Get inspired

    by a good cause.

    Y! Toolbar

    Get it Free!

    easy 1-click access

    to your groups.

    Yahoo! Groups

    Start a group

    in 3 easy steps.

    Connect with others.

    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: