Sunday, September 13, 2009

TD NANDO (16W) now moving away from RP... [Update #004]

 


for Sunday, 13 September 2009 [12:39 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat September 12 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD NANDO (16W).


NANDO (16W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [16W]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sun 13 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression NANDO (16W) reconsolidating off the NW Coast of Ilocos Norte...may exit PAR later today...continues to head towards Southern China, away from Luzon.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of NANDO.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: NANDO is expected to become a tropical storm as it continue tracking WNW across the South China Sea within the next 12 to 24 hours. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system passing south of Hong Kong and Macau on Tuesday morning Sep 15 and shall make landfall SW of Macau or off Western Guangdong Province on Tuesday evening and dissipate overland.

    + Effects: NANDO's circulation has been sheared to the south with most of its rainbands over the South China Sea. Its NW and Western outer rainbands of NANDO is expected to reach the coastal areas of Southern China including Hainan Island later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near its center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional chance of light rains w/ some thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, ZAMBALES, LA UNION, PANGASINAN, & BATAAN.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun September 13 2009
    Location of Center: 19.9º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
    Distance 1: 195 km (105 nm) NNW of Laoag City
    Distance 2: 200 km (108 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
    Distance 3: 675 km (365 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
    Distance 4: 730 km (395 nm) ESE of Macau
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
    General Direction: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Sep 13
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Sun Sep 13
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR AND ABRA.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

  • JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER: 20.7N 119.3E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 15 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 21.1N 117.6E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 13 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 15 SEPTEMBER: 21.6N 114.4E / 75-95 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 13 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 22.1N 111.5E / 55-75 KPH (Tropical Depression) / WNW @ 13 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.1N 121.2E.
    ^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
    THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED
    NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL EXTENSION
    OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
    A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED AND DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
    (LLCC) HAS NOW DEVELOPED FLARING, CENTRAL CONVECTION DUE NORTH OF
    LUZON. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
    PREVIOUSLY HINDERING THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT HAS STARTED TO RELAX
    AS AN ANTICYCLONE HAS STARTED TO DEVELOP ALOFT...
    (
    more)

    >> MORAKOT, meaning: EmeraldName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 10 AM (02 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER: 19.1N 119.1E / WNW @ 22 kph / 55 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM (T2K) TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD NANDO (16W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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