for Thursday, 17 September 2009 [5:52 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 200 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 016
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 17 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #022
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Super Typhoon CHOI-WAN (15W) down to Category 4...still tracking NW...may start to turn NNW to North later tonight.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to turn NNW to Northward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler moving NNE to NE, passing about 165 km to the west of Iwo To tomorrow aftermoon Sep 18 and about 160 km to the west of Chichi Jima on early Saturday morning, Sep 19. CHOI-WAN shall maintain its waning phase as it accelerates further to the NNE to NE across cooler seas of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, just south of Kuril Islands and shall become Extratropical on Monday Sep 21.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas of the NW Pacific...with its outer bands now spreading across Iwo To...and across Chichi Jima later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of CHOI-WAN or along its Eyewall. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu September 17 2009
Location of Eye: 21.4º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 405 km (218 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 505 km (273 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 660 km (355 nm) SSW of Chichi Jima
Distance 4: 1,860 km (1,005 nm) ENE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,000 km (540 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 41 ft (12.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Thu Sep 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu Sep 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Thu Sep 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 22.8N 139.5E / 240-295 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / N @ 20 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY CHOI-WAN (15W).
CHOI-WAN (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 200 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON CHOI-WAN [15W/0914]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 016
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 17 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #022
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Island Group should closely monitor the progress of CHOI-WAN.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to turn NNW to Northward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler moving NNE to NE, passing about 165 km to the west of Iwo To tomorrow aftermoon Sep 18 and about 160 km to the west of Chichi Jima on early Saturday morning, Sep 19. CHOI-WAN shall maintain its waning phase as it accelerates further to the NNE to NE across cooler seas of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, just south of Kuril Islands and shall become Extratropical on Monday Sep 21.
+ Effects: CHOI-WAN's dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas of the NW Pacific...with its outer bands now spreading across Iwo To...and across Chichi Jima later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN's rainbands...
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu September 17 2009
Location of Eye: 21.4º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 405 km (218 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 505 km (273 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 660 km (355 nm) SSW of Chichi Jima
Distance 4: 1,860 km (1,005 nm) ENE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,000 km (540 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 41 ft (12.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Thu Sep 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu Sep 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Thu Sep 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 22.8N 139.5E / 240-295 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / N @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.9N 139.6E / 230-280 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 4) / NNE @ 26 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 31.0N 143.1E / 195-240 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 3) / NE @ 44 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 39.1N 149.8E / 140-165 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 1) / NE @ 35 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 31.0N 143.1E / 195-240 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 3) / NE @ 44 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 39.1N 149.8E / 140-165 KPH (Typhoon-Cat 1) / NE @ 35 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 21.0N 140.3E.
^STY 15W CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY
OF THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE, AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TRACKING NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 12 BEFORE
RECURVING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER TAU 24. STY 15W HAS WEAKENED
SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION ON THE
NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE ERODING OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE
OUTFLOW MAXIMUM ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH
(TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST
TWELVE HOURS, WHICH EXPLAINS THE WEAKENING SEEN OVER THE PAST SIX TO
TWELVE HOURS...(more)
>> CHOI-WAN, meaning: Colorful Cloud. Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY CHOI-WAN (15W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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