for Friday, 07 August 2009 [7:40 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
Good News! The T2K SMS Alerts are finally back ONLINE after a major failure of the server...A big thanks and good job to our tech engineers @ Synermaxx Corp. (www.synermaxx.com.ph ) for fixing the problem right away. Meanwhile, the other services (Web & Email) continues to run - issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TYPHOON MORAKOT (KIKO).
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 07 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) now passing due south of Yaeyama Islands...dangerously closing in to Northern Taiwan...no change in strength.
*Residents and visitors along Taiwan & SE & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 10 hours and slightly intensify - reaching Category 2 status w/ 165-kph winds as it reaches the East coast of Northern Taiwan this afternoon. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning abruptly NW-ward as it makes landfall over Northern Taiwan early tonight. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall over or very close to Hualien, Taiwan early tonight around 7-8PM and cross Northern Taiwan passing very close to Metro Taipei around 2 AM tomorrow. MORAKOT is forecast to weaken as it traverses Taiwan Strait tomorrow afternoon and make its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by late Sunday evening, Aug 9 - passing over or very close to Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 until Tuesday Aug 10 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands continues to spread across Rest of Taiwan, Taiwan Strait and Extreme Northern Luzon...with its inner (rain) bands over Yaeyama Islands, Eastern Taiwan - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph gusty winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON AND WESTERN BICOL. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri August 07 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 123.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km (108 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 255 km (138 nm) SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 370 km (200 nm) NNE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 515 km (278 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 565 km (305 nm) WSW of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Northern Taiwan-SE China Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 30 ft (9.1 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Aug 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Fri Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.8N 122.1E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / NNW @ 11 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on KIKO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.-->
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
Good News! The T2K SMS Alerts are finally back ONLINE after a major failure of the server...A big thanks and good job to our tech engineers @ Synermaxx Corp. (www.synermaxx.
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 07 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Taiwan & SE & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 10 hours and slightly intensify - reaching Category 2 status w/ 165-kph winds as it reaches the East coast of Northern Taiwan this afternoon. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning abruptly NW-ward as it makes landfall over Northern Taiwan early tonight. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall over or very close to Hualien, Taiwan early tonight around 7-8PM and cross Northern Taiwan passing very close to Metro Taipei around 2 AM tomorrow. MORAKOT is forecast to weaken as it traverses Taiwan Strait tomorrow afternoon and make its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by late Sunday evening, Aug 9 - passing over or very close to Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 until Tuesday Aug 10 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands continues to spread across Rest of Taiwan, Taiwan Strait and Extreme Northern Luzon...with its inner (rain) bands over Yaeyama Islands, Eastern Taiwan - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph gusty winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON AND WESTERN BICOL. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri August 07 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 123.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km (108 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 255 km (138 nm) SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 370 km (200 nm) NNE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 515 km (278 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 565 km (305 nm) WSW of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Northern Taiwan-SE China Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 30 ft (9.1 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Aug 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Fri Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides..
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.8N 122.1E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 24.8N 121.5E / 130-160 KPH (Category 1) / NW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.9N 119.9E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.9N 119.9E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 28.9N 118.8E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance/LPA) / .. @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST POSITION: 23.4N 123.9E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TY 09W HAS MAINTAINED DEEP
CONVECTION WITH GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY
ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON FIXES BY PGTW AND RJTD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
INCREASE SLIGHTLY IN INTENSITY TO 90 KNOTS BEFORE MAKING INITIAL
LANDFALL IN NORTHERN TAIWAN BEFORE TAU 24. TY 09W WILL SLOW IN
FORWARD SPEED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND WILL
WEAKEN IN INTENSITY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. AFTER TY 09W
CROSSES TAIWAN, IT WILL BRIEFLY EMERGE INTO A MARGINAL SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE ENVIRONMENT WHERE IT WILL WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH. 09W SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN CHINA AROUND TAU 48....(more)
>> MORAKOT, meaning: Emerald. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.6N 123.3E / WNW @ 22 kph / 150 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MORAKOT (KIKO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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