Wednesday, August 05, 2009

TS MORAKOT (KIKO) - Update #006

 


for Wednesday, 05 August 2009 [7:40 AM PST]

click to get RSS data
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Currently OFFLINE
Our technical engineers are fixing the problem

powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue August 04 2009):

T2K SMS Alerts not updated due to server problem...tech engineers are currently fixing the problem. Other services (Web & Email) remains running - issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TS MORAKOT (KIKO).


MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006

6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Wed 05 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • The large Tropical Storm MORAKOT (KIKO) churning across the northernmost Philippine Sea with increasing intensity...threatens Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands.

    *Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue moving WNW reaching Category 1 Typhoon this afternoon. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system passing close to the south of Okinawa tomorrow afternoon (Aug 6), reaching its forecast peak winds of 175 kph (Category 2). On Saturday morning, Aug 8 - MORAKOT shall make landfall along the coast of Eastern China.

    + Effects: MORAKOT's broad circulation continues to improve with the development of an eye feature while over the warm waters of the Northeastern Philippine Sea. This storm is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Moderate to slightly strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON-METRO MANILA-BICOL REGION.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Wed August 05 2009
    Location of Center: 22.3º N Lat 133.6º E Lon
    Distance 1: 735 km (398 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
    Distance 2: 1,260 km (680 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
    Distance 3: 1,215 km (655 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    85 kph (45 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 11 kph (06 kts)
    General Direction: Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands
    Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 ft (5.1 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Wed Aug 05
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    18Z Tue Aug 04
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Wed Aug 05
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:

    2 PM (06 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 23.0N 131.8E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
  • 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 23.8N 129.5E / 150-185 KPH / WNW @ 22 KPH
    2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 25.5N 125.0E / 175-215 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
    2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 27.4N 121.7E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH

    REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 05 AUGUST POSITION: 22.4N 133.7E.
    ^ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
    CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF TS
    09W. RECENTLY A FLARE OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE
    NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
    BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS THE 35 KNOT WIND-
    FIELD HAS BEEN INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN THE
    NORTHEAST, SOUTHEAST, AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS. BASED ON THE
    FORECASTED INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY
    INTO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, AND CONTINUED INCREASES
    IN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES/OCEAN HEAT CONTENT, THE POSSIBILITY
    EXISTS FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION...
    (
    more)

    >> MORAKOT, meaning: EmeraldName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 2 AM (20 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 22.3N 133.5E / WEST @ 15 kph / 95 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS MORAKOT (KIKO)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity
    Visit Your Group
    Give Back

    Yahoo! for Good

    Get inspired

    by a good cause.

    Y! Toolbar

    Get it Free!

    easy 1-click access

    to your groups.

    Yahoo! Groups

    Start a group

    in 3 easy steps.

    Connect with others.

    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: