Monday, August 03, 2009

TD 08W (JOLINA) - Update #008

 


for Monday, 03 August 2009 [6:56 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon August 03 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on Tropical Depression 08W (JOLINA).


08W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W [JOLINA]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008

6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 03 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #003
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression 08W (JOLINA) drifting slowly northward over the Northern South China Sea.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 08W (JOLINA).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 08W is expected to resume its northward track towards Guangdong Province. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows 08W moving very slowly poleward, approaching the coast of Guangdong Province tomorrow afternoon and shall dissipate near the coast on Wednesday afternoon (Aug 5).

    + Effects: 08W's disorganized circulation remains over the South China Sea, with its low-level center partially exposed. Rainfall accumulations of up to 150-250 mm can be expected within its circulation. This system is not affecting any major land areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon August 03 2009
    Location of Center: 19.7º N Lat 115.4º E Lon
    Distance 1: 315 km (170 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
    Distance 2: 435 km (235 nm) SSW of Shantou, China
    Distance 3: 460 km (248 nm) West of Hainan Island
    Distance 4: 695 km (375 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
    General Direction: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Aug 03
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Mon Aug 03
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    JTWC 12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:

    2 PM (06 GMT) 03 AUGUST: 19.9N 115.7E / 55-75 KPH / N @ 07 KPH 
    2 PM (06 GMT) 04 AUGUST: 20.6N 115.7E / 55-75 KPH / N @ 05 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 21.7N 115.9E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 AUGUST POSITION: 19.2N 115.8E.

    ^ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION IS FULLY EXPOSED AND EXPANDING AS IT CON-
    TINUES TO BE DETACHED FROM THE WEAKENING CONVECTION
    TO THE SOUTHWEST. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
    BASED ON NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS IN THE VICINITY AND
    DVORAK FIXES FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
    INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HIGH
    VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TD 08W IS TRACKING SLOWLY ALONG THE
    EXTREME WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO
    THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN
    THEN DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY 
    48 HOURS...
    (
    more)

    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :

  • _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)

    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 08W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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