Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS SINLAKU (MARCE)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #018 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU [MARCE/15W/0813]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 20 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #046
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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SINLAKU (MARCE) LOSES STRENGTH, JUST A TROPICAL STORM...NOW MOVING

QUICKLY AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HONSHU...LIKELY TO BECOME

EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

**THIS IS THE FINAL E-MAIL UPDATE ON THIS TENACIOUS, LONG-LASTING

SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to continue heading ENE across

the North Pacific Ocean throughout its forecast, becoming a cold-core

(extratropical) system later this afternoon.

+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU's core is now moving quickly, away from Southern Coast

of Honshu. Only the NW outer rainbands are affecting the Eastern Coast of

Honshu. Improving weather expected later today as the system moves out to

sea.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) SAT 20 SEP 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 34.8º N...LONGITUDE 141.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF TOKYO, JAPAN

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 280 KM (150 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME SAT SEP 20
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None

12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 35.5N 144.5E / 85-100 KPH / E @ 41 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 36.2N 149.8E / 75-95 KPH / --- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 34.5N 139.9E.
^THE SYSTEM WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM (TS) STRENGTH, AND
HAS WEAKENED 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE TRACKING EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD, SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN. ANIMATED METSAT IMAGERY AND A
190956Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE DEPICT WANING DEEP CORE CONVECTION BEING
SHEARED NORTHEAST OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING RAPIDLY
TOWARDS THE MIDLATITUDE FLOW AND IS INCREASINGLY BEING AFFECTED BY
THE HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE MODEL TRACKERS REMAIN IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ECMWF WHICH FAILS TO TRACK
THE CIRCULATION AFTER TAU 12...(more)

>> SINLAKU {pronounced: seen~la~ku}, meaning: Kosrae legendary goddess.
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
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RECENT WUNDERGOUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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