Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS FENGSHEN (FRANK) now over Hong Kong [Update #010]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010

Name: TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN [FRANK/07W/0806]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 25 JUNE 2008
Source: HONG KONG OBSERVATORY BULLETIN
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN (FRANK) BATTERS HONG KONG...ITS CENTER HAS

PASSED WITHIN 50 KM EAST OF THE METROPOLIS...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS

WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS REACHING 100-130 KM/HR HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN

SOME AREAS OF HONG KONG PARTICULARLY ALONG STANLEY, CHEUNG CHAU, KAI

TAK AND WAGLAN ISLAND. IN NGONG PING, WIND GUST HAVE REACHED 186 KM/HR
AT 6:30 AM HONG KONG TIME.

Click HERE TO VIEW WIND GUST MAP OF HONG KONG!

**Residents of Hong Kong & Eastern Guangdong must take precautionary measures, as
Storm Wind Signal No. 8 remains in effect. Kindly check out Hong Kong Observatory's
hourly bulletin on the passage of Tropical Storm FENGSHEN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FENGSHEN is expected to inland across Eastern

Guangdong, dissipating. The 24-hour forecast calls for further dissi-

pation of FENGSHEN, becoming a Tropical Depression while moving along

Eastern Guangdong tomorrow.

+ EFFECTS: FENGSHEN's core and its western inner bands continues to

lash Hong Kong and Macau. Moderate to heavy rains with wind gusts not

exceeding 120 km/hr can be expected. Meanwhile, its inner bands will

continue to affect the whole of Guangdong province this morning, bri-

nging rains and winds not exceeding 60 km/hr. Residents in low-lying

areas must seek higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due

to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precau-

tionary measures must be implemented today. Coastal Storm Surge floo-

ding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and

dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of

FRANK's projected path particularly on where the center makes land-

fall in Eastern Guangdong Province in China. Minimal damage is po-

ssible on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is po-

ssible along coastal areas of Western Guangdong and Fujian Province

with surf reaching 1 feet at most.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be
enhanced by FENSGHEN, affecting Western Luzon. Clear to Cloudy skies with
light to moderate passing rains & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr may
be expected. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur
along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone
areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, big sea waves or surges generated
by this monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of the above-
mentioned areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) 25 JUNE
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.6º N...LONGITUDE 114.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 40 KM (23 NM) NE OF HONG KONG, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 95 KM (50 NM) ENE OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 3: 250 KM (135 NM) WSW OF SHANTOU, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 810 KM (437 NM) NW OF LAOAG CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 14 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SHENZHEN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 390 KM (210 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 6 AM MANILA TIME TUE JUNE 24
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 JUNE: 23.6N 114.8E / 85-100 KPH / N @ 13 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 26 JUNE: 25.0N 115.0E / 55-75 KPH / NNE @ 11 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE: 26.1N 115.4E / 35-55 KPH / .. @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 25 JUNE POSITION: 22.2N 114.9E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWEST-
WARD AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A BROAD STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE
TROPICAL STORM HAS NEARLY MAINTAINED INTENSITY DURING THIS TIME
UNDER THE COMPETING INFLUENCES OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
AND STRONG SOUTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS EXPOSED, BUT DEEP
CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC.
SEVERAL RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASSES INDICATE THAT THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FURTHER BROADENED ALONG A NORTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST-ORIENTED AXIS...(more).

>> FENGSHEN {pronounced: feng~shen}, meaning: God of Wind.
Name contributed by: China.
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RECENT HKO TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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