Monday, November 19, 2007

TD 23W (LANDO) approaching Cebu-Negros...[Update #003]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W [LANDO] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 19 NOVEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 20 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 003
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION
23W (NONAME) HAS CROSSED SOUTHERN LEYTE AND IS NOW
OFF CAMOTES SEA...STORM WARNING SIGNALS NOW HOISTED OVER THE VISAYAS.
*RESIDENTS OF THE VISAYAS MUST TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES ON THIS
INTENSIFYING SYSTEM AND MUST BE ALERTED TODAY.

Note: PAGASA just upgraded LANDO into a Tropical Storm with Max Sus-
tained Winds of 65 km/hr
.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 23W (LANDO) is expected to cross Northern Cebu tonight
as it may become a Tropical Storm. It shall be crossing Panay Island early
tomorrow morning (Nov 20), passing just North of Iloilo City. The 24-hr
to 3-day Forecast shows 23W turning Westward upon passing over the Sulu
Sea tomorrow afternoon and cross the Northern tip of Palawan tomorrow
evening. 23W shall become a well-developed 130 km/hr Typhoon upon
reaching the middle part of South China Sea by Thursday afternon, Nov
22...heading Westward towards Vietnam

+ EFFECTS: 23W's large rain circulation continues to affect and cover
the whole area of the Visayas and Mindanao...bringing moderate to heavy
rains with winds not exceeding 60 km/hr tonight and tomorrow..becoming
more intense along Samar, Leyte, Cebu, Northern Negros, Masbate & Panay.
Meanwhile, the Bicol Region remains under the outer rainbands of this
depression. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay
& of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where
possible LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located -
must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains w/ some strong winds asso-
ciated by this disturbance are likely to prevail today until tomorrow.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon enhanced by
23W (LANDO) will continue to bring cloudy skies with intermittent rains
& strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher across Northern and Eastern
Philippines. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to
occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying &
flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while big sea waves or surges
generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front
areas of Eastern Philippines.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA/1007 MB)
now
moving away from the Marianas or about 445 km. SW of Guam or 1,800 km.
East of Visayas (10.5N 142.0E). Moving West slowly...with wind speed
of 30 km/hr near the potential center. This system will be closely
monitored for further development into another significant Tropical
Cyclone in the coming days. Click HERE to view the latest satellite
image on
this new developing system. 
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 19 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 10.7º N...LONGITUDE 124.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 35 KM (20
NM) SOUTH OF ORMOC CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 80 KM (43 NM) SW OF TACLOBAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 90 KM (48 NM) NE OF CEBU CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 185 KM (100 NM) EAST OF BACOLOD CITY, PH 
DISTANCE 5: 325 KM (175 NM) ESE OF BORACAY, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN CEBU-NORTHERN NEGROS & PANAY AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME MON NOVEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - CEBU, BOHOL, NORTHERN NEGROS, GUIMARAS AND ILOILO.
#01 - AKLAN, ANTIQUE, CAPIZ, REST OF NEGROS, SIQUIJOR ISLAND, CUYO
      ISLAND, LEYTE, SOUTHERN LEYTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, WESTERN AND
      EASTERN SAMAR, CAMOTES IS., BILIRAN IS., SURIGAO DEL NORTE, 
      & CAMIGUIN ISLAND
.

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER: 11.1N 122.9E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER: 11.2N 120.7E / 75-95 KPH / W @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 21 NOVEMBER: 10.9N 116.7E / 130-160 KPH / W @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.5N 125.2E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS PRIMARILY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AS IT TRACKS TOWARD
NORTHEASTERN MINDANAO. SYNOPTIC SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM EASTERN
MINDANAO INDICATE SLP NEAR 1003 MB WITH 1 MB 24-HOUR PRESSURE FALLS.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING
SYSTEM WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND STRONG INFLOW AS EVIDENCED BY LOW-LEVEL
CLOUD LINES INDICATIVE OF ENHANCED WESTERLIES AND EASTERLIES.
AN 182335Z SSMI IMAGE DEPICTS EXCELLENT CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM
.
..(more)
_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 19 NOVEMBER: 10.2N 124.1E / WNW @ 13 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD 23W (LANDO)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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