Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon LEKIMA (HANNA) to make landfall over Vietnam tonight... [Update #013]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #013

Name: TYPHOON LEKIMA [HANNA/16W/0714]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 03 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 04 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 014
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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EYE OF TYPHOON LEKIMA (HANNA) TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM IN THE NEXT

FEW HOURS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The core (eye and eyewall) of LEKIMA is expected to

make landfall over the Northern portion of Central Vietnam early tonight

approx 7-8 PM HK Time. The 24 to 36-hour forecast shows LEKIMA weakening

rapidly into a Tropical Storm while moving overland across Vietnam and

shall dissipate over NE Thailand tomorrow evening, Oct 04.

+ EFFECTS: LEKIMA's core (eye and eyewall) is now battering the coast of

Vietnam bringing typhoon conditions (very strong winds and heavy rains)

across the area...inner rainbands spreading across the Central Vietnam

and the Gulf of Tonkin...while, its outer rainbands continues to spread

across Hainan, Southern Laos, Eastern Thailand & Northern Vietnam. Cloudy

skies with passing light to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be

expected along Lekima's outer bands...becoming more intense and windy

along the inner bands.Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above

normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can

be expected near and to the north of LEKIMA's projected path especially

over Hainan and Vietnam today. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent

along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected

areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 03 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 17.6º N...LONGITUDE 106.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 150 KM (80 NM) NW OF HUE, VIETNAM

DISTANCE 2: 295 KM (160 NM) WSW OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.

DISTANCE 3: 390 KM (210 NM) SSE OF HANOI, VIETNAM

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 15 FEET (4.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM HONG KONG TIME WED OCTOBER 03
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 17.5N 105.3E / 95-120 KPH / W @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 17.5N 103.7E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 17 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 05 OCTOBER: 17.4N 101.9E / 35-55 KPH / . @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 OCTOBER POSITION: 17.6N 107.3E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 16W (LEKIMA) INTENSIFIED BRIEFLY OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS BEFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY, THEREFORE THE CURRENT INTENSITY
REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY
DEPICTS CONTINUED FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND SOME IMPINGMENT
ON THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE STORM AS THE SYSTEM TRACKED NEAR
HAINAN ISLAND...(more)

>> LEKIMA {pronounced: le~kee~mah}, meaning: A kind of tree whose fruit

has only one seed surrounded by yellow pulp which looks like a yolk.
Name contributed by: Vietnam.
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RECENT TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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