Sunday, October 07, 2007

Typhoon KROSA (INENG) makes landfall over Taiwan... [Update #010]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010
Name: TYPHOON KROSA [INENG/17W/0715] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 06 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 07 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 020
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
THE EYE OF TYPHOON KROSA (INENG) HAS UNDERGONE AN UNBELIEVABLE WEST-
WARD MOTION AND STRUCK THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN TAIWAN IN THE LAST
FEW HOURS, THEN IT MOVED TO A SOUTHERLY-COUNTERCLOCKWISE TRACK AS
SHOWN ON TAIWAN'S RADAR SYSTEM...PLACING THE EYE STILL ALONG THE
COAST OF NORTHERN TAIWAN, NEAR HUALIEN CITY. CATASTROPHIC WINDS
WITH HEAVY TORRENTIAL RAINS IS NOW LASHING THE AREA INCLUDING
TAIPEI.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to resume moving WNW'ly with
its EYE passing very close to the capital of Taipei at this moment.
The very dangerous Eyewall will continue to affect Northern Taiwan
throughout the evening. The EYE shall exit NW Taiwan early tomorrow
morning in a slow trek northward passing very close to the coast of
Fujian and Zhejiang Province in SE China tomorrow evening til
Monday, Oct 08

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's EyeWall continues to blast Northern & Central
Taiwan while its inner rainbands spreading across Southern Taiwan,
Taiwan Strait and the Coastal areas of SE China. Extreme Typhoon-
force winds with very heavy rains can be expected within the Eyewall
while Tropical Storm-Force winds not exceeding 110 kph and intermi-
ttent rainfall can be expected along its inner rainbands. Meanwhile,
Krosa's outer rainbands continues to spread across Extreme Northern
Luzon, extending over SE China and Okinawa. Cloudy skies with passing
light to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along
its outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above
normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected near and to the north of KROSA's projected path par-
ticularly over Taiwan & Yaeyama Islands. Extreme damage is possible
on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible
along the SE Coast of China, Okinawa and the Northern coastal
stretch of the Philippines. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent
along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected
areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated especially along
the path of this monster typhoon.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest (SW)
Monsoon enhanced
by Super Typhoon KROSA (INENG) - will continue to bring mostly cloudy
skies with possible intermittent rains & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or
higher across Western Philippines becoming more frequent over Mindoro.
Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain slopes,
river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while
big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal
and beach-front areas of Western Visayas and Western Luzon. Meanwhile,
the rest of the Philippines is under the active ITCZ (Monsoon Trough),
which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms most especially in
the afternoon or evening.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) 06 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.1º N...LONGITUDE 121.7º E [CWB RADARFIX]
DISTANCE 1: 15 KM (08
NM) NNE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 2: 100 KM (55 NM) SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 400 KM (215 NM) NNW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 220 KM (120 NM) NE OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN 
DISTANCE 5: 330 KM (178 NM) SE OF FUZHOU, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 230 KM/HR (125 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 280 KM/HR (150 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4) 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 929 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,205 KM (650 NM)/VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SUN OCTOBER 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 26.0N 121.0E / 195-240 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 27.0N 121.0E / 185-230 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 29.2N 122.9E / 140-165 KPH / NE @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 OCTOBER POSITION: 24.5N 122.3E.
^
...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane
   Name contributed by: Cambodia.

_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 06 OCTOBER: 24.7N 121.9E / NW @ 19 KPH / 185 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY KROSA (INENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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