Monday, October 08, 2007

KROSA (INENG) weakens into a Tropical Storm... [Update #012]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #012
Name: TROPICAL STORM KROSA [INENG/17W/0715] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 07 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 024
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
KROSA (INENG) LOSES STRENGTH WHILE APPROACHING SOUTHEASTERN CHINA...
DOWNGRADED INTO A TROPICAL STORM...NOW OFF THE SHORES OF FUJIAN-
ZHEJIANG AREA...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS ZHEJIANG THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to make its second landfall
along the Fujian-Zhejiang border in the next few hours and move inland
across Zhejiang Province tonight. Tomorrow afternoon, KROSA shall start
its recurvature towards the ENE and shall move into the East China Sea
on its way to Western Japan. This weakening system shall continue to
lose strength as it enters an area of unfavorable atmospheric environ-
ment (cooler waters and increasing wind shear conditions). Complete di-
ssipation of KROSA shall be expected on Wednesday, Oct 10

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's weakening center is now off the shores of Fujian-
Zhejiang border with its inner rainbands still spreading across the
rest of Fujian and Zhejiang. Gale Force to Tropical Storm winds with
heavy torrential rains will prevail near the center, while strong winds
not exceeding 60 kph with intermittent rainfall can be expected along
its inner rainbands. Meanwhile, Krosa's outer rainbands continues to
spread across Taiwan, extending over other portions of SE and Southern
China including Shanghai area. Cloudy skies with passing light to mo-
derate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along its outer
bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 2 to 3 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected
near and to the north of KROSA's projected path particularly over SE
China. Moderate damage is possible on this type of storm surge. Far-
fetched storm surge is possible along Western Taiwan, Okinawa and Sou-
thern China. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,
low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas. Precautionary
measures must be initiated especially along the path of this storm.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Dissipating Southwest (SW) Monsoon
enhanced
by Storm KROSA (INENG) - will continue to bring mostly cloudy skies with
possible intermittent rains & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher across
Western Coast of Luzon. Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along
steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the
affected areas, while big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon
can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of Western Luzon. Meanwhile,
the rest of the Philippines is under the active ITCZ (Monsoon Trough),
which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms most especially in
the afternoon or evening.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 07 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.0º N...LONGITUDE 120.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 115 KM (62
NM) SSW OF WENZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 150 KM (80 NM) NE OF FUZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 255 KM (137 NM) NW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 4: 475 KM (260 NM) SSW OF SHANGHAI, CHINA 
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 15 FEET (4.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SUN OCTOBER 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 27.9N 120.4E / 85-100 KPH / NE @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 28.8N 121.3E / 75-95 KPH / ENE @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 29.9N 124.3E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 OCTOBER POSITION: 26.7N 120.4E.
^
...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane
   Name contributed by: Cambodia.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS KROSA (INENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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