Thursday, September 06, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #009


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #009
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 06 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 07 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #035
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) STILL INTENSIFIED INTO A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM
WITH WINDS OF 160 KM/HR...LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN HONSHU JUST
HOURS AWAY...NORTHERN EYEWALL APPROACHING THE COAST.


+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The core of FITOW shall make landfall near or
just to the East of Shizuoka City around 2-3 AM Japan Time (JST)
early tomorrow and shall move near or over Mt. Fuji, passing to
the west of Metropolitan Tokyo around 4 to 5 AM JST as a weake-
ning typhoon. The 2-day forecast calls for the system becoming
Extratropical upon moving across the mountainous region of Cen-
tral Honshu tomorrow afternoon (Sept 7) and shall exit Honshu
via Hokkaido early Saturday morning, Sept. 8

+ EFFECTS: FITOW's Eyewall is now off the coast of Southern Hon-
shu. Intense typhoon force winds with very heavy rainfall can be
expected along the eyewall as it prepares to make landfall tonight.
Inner rain bands are now moving in across the Southern and Central
part of Honshu wherein deteriorating typhoon conditions with strong
winds and passing intermittent rains can be expected along these
bands. Meanwhile, the typhoon's outer rain bands are now spreading
across most of Honshu and portions of Shikoku. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with large
and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north
of FITOW's projected path. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent
along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affec-
ted areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated as the powerful
system approaches.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 33.6º N...LONGITUDE 138.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 260 KM (140
NM) SW OF TOKYO, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 230 KM (125 NM) SE OF NAGOYA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 290 KM (157 NM) SSE OF OSAKA, JAPAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN HONSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 630 KM (340 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 33 FEET (10.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JAPAN TIME THU SEPTEMBER 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 35.3N 138.9E / 140-165 KPH / NNE @ 28 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER: 38.1N 140.1E / 95-120 KPH / NNE @ 35 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 45.1N 145.5E / 45-65 KPH / NE @ 39 KPH [ET]

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 33.0N 138.4E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO BOTH IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF A
MID- LATITUDE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE SEA OF JAPAN AND WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE KUROSHIO CURRENT.
DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER, AND A RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE HAS MADE A TRANSIENT
APPEARANCE IN RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE
IMAGERY
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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