Wednesday, August 08, 2007

Typhoon PABUK (CHEDENG) - Update #06


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TYPHOON PABUK [CHEDENG/07W/0706] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON PABUK (CHEDENG) NOW MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF TAIWAN AFTER THE EYE PASSED OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING, AROUND 1 AM HK TIME.


+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PABUK is expected to continue moving
West and shall make its last and final landfall over Sou-
thern China tonight. It shall pass just to the North of
Hong Kong early tomorrow morning and dissipate over the
mountainous terrain of Southern China


+ EFFECTS: PABUK's circulation remains compact. Its Inner
Bands is now over the South China Sea bringing strong winds
with moderate to heavy rains along the shipping lanes -
expected to reach the coast of Southern China this afternoon.
Outer Rain Bands, meanwhile, has been spreading across Sou-
thern China and the rest of Taiwan, Babuyan and Batanes Group
of Islands. Passing moderate rains and winds can be expected
along the outer bands. Typhoon conditions expected tonight
until tomorrow morning over Southern China as the core
(eye+eyewall) of PABUK makes landfall. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding of 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with
large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and
to the north of PABUK's projected path particularly the along
the Southern Coast of China. Flash floods and mudslides are
imminent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas
of Southern China. Precautionary measures must be initiated
today as the typhoon approaches.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 08 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.2º N...LONGITUDE 119.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 320 KM (172
NM) WNW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 95 KM (50 NM) WSW OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 315 KM (170 NM) ESE OF SHANTOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 545 KM (295 NM) EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 30 KM/HR (16 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 520 KM (280 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME AUGUST 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 22.6N 117.2E / 100-130 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 23.1N 114.4E / 85-100 KPH / W @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 23.4N 111.9E / 35-55 KPH / W @ 22 KPH


REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST POSITION: 22.1N 120.3E.
^SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TYPHOON AGAIN BASED ON A TRMM IMAGE
SHOWING A MICROWAVE EYE AS WELL AS TAIWAN RADAR IMAGERY
SHOWING A WELL-FORMED SMALL EYE. RADAR ALSO INDICATES THAT
THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED EYEWALL CONVECTION VERY WELL AS
IT TRACKED ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN.
CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITIONING IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY
THIS RADAR DATA..
.(more)

>> PABUK {pronounced: pa~book}, meaning: Big fresh water fish. 
  
Name contributed by: Lao PDR.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 22.0N 120.1E / WEST @ 22 KPH / 110 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY PABUK (CHEDENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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