Tuesday, August 07, 2007

TD 06W - Update #07

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W [UNNAMED] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 07 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #015
_______________________________________________________________________
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (UNNAMED) STRUGGLING OVER THE GULF
OF TONKIN, NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAINAN AS UNFAVORABLE
CONDITIONS CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE SYSTEM...LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 06W is expected to turn Westward towards
the Coast of Vietnam tomorrow morning, and dissipate early
Wednesday morning, Aug 8. 

+ EFFECTS: 06W's circulation remains weak and disorganized
and continues to spread across Northwestern Thailand, Cambo-
dia, Laos, Northern Vietnam, Hainan Island and portions of
Southwestern China. The weak convective circulation will
continue to bring scattered moderate to heavy rains over the
area, most especially over the Gulf of Tonkin and the coast-
line of Northern Vietnam. Flash floods and mudslides are
imminent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas
of the affected areas of IndoChina. Precautionary measures
must be implemented on the possible effects of this
depression.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues
to be enhanced by TD 06W...Cloudy skies with passing occasio-
nal rains & SW'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher can be expected
along the western sections of Indochina & Malay Peninsula par-
ticularly the western sections of Thailand & Myanmar. Mud-
slides and flooding is likely along river banks, low-lying &
flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.0º N...LONGITUDE 109.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 130 KM (70 NM) NE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) ENE OF HUE, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 145 KM (78 NM) SSW OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.
DISTANCE 4: 1,235 KM (665 NM) WNW OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1004 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM HKT MON AUGUST 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 17.7N 108.5E / 45-65 KPH / WNW @ 07 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 18.0N 107.8E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 18.0N 107.0E / 35-55 KPH / W @ 07 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 16.8N 109.1E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (NONAME) HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE MOVEMENT HAS BEEN NORTHWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS,
WITH THE LLCC NOW SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND. TD 06W IS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM, AND HAS TRACKED
NORTH AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A QUIKSCAT PASS
INDICATES UNFLAGGED WINDS AT THE CENTER OF ONLY 20 KTS. THE
INTENSITY WAS HELD AT 25KTS DUE TO THE DVORAK OF 1.0/1.5,
BUT THE TREND IS DEFINITELY WEAKENING. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE LLCC.
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES IN THE VICINITY OF THE STORM
ARE LOW...(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________
 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh....noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 06W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
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Posted by MJ Klein at 07:51

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