Monday, August 06, 2007

TD 06W - Update #06


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006 
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W [UNNAMED] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #013
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (UNNAMED) JUSTL LINGERING OFF THE
COAST OF CENTRAL VIETNAM...WEAKENS FURTHER.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 06W is expected to move NNW back over
unfavorable conditions of the South China Sea during the
next 3 days, and dissipate off the coast of Vietnam by
early Thursday morning, Aug 9


+ EFFECTS: 06W's circulation remains weak and disorga-
nized and continues to spread across Thailand, Cambodia,
Laos, Vietnam & portions of Hainan Island. The weak convec-
tive circulation will continue to bring scattered moderate
to heavy rains over the area, most especially Central Viet-
nam. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river
banks, low-lying and mountainous areas of the affected
areas of IndoChina. Precautionary measures must be
implemented on the possible effects of this depression
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon conti-
nues to be enhanced by TD 06W...Cloudy skies with passing
occasional rains & SW'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher can
be expected along the western sections of Indochina &
Malay Peninsula particularly the western sections of
Thailand & Myanmar. Mudslides and flooding is likely
along river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.2º N...LONGITUDE 109.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 140 KM (75 NM) SE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) SE OF HUE, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 335 KM (180 NM) SSW OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.
DISTANCE 4: 1,290 KM (695 NM) WNW OF METRO MANILA, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 05 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT MON AUGUST 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 15.7N 108.9E / 45-65 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 16.6N 108.8E / 45-65 KPH / NW @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 17.8N 107.9E / 35-55 KPH / SW @ 04 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 15.0N 109.1E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (NONAME) CONTINUES TO SEE BURSTS
OF CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE TRACK SPEED AS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND THE
LLCC HAS REMAINED JUST OFF SHORE..
.(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh...noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD 06W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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2 comments:

Patrick Cowsill said...

What are the chances of a holiday in the next couple of days? One that is big enough to shut us down for a day or two but still keeps the MRT intact would be nice.

MJ Klein said...

Patrick i think there is an excellent chance with TS Pabuk: http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/wp200707_5day.gif

it all depends upon how strong it is by the time it lands.

we have missed the bullet the last few times, while Japan took the hit.

i myself would like one of those holidays!