Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TYPHOON MAN-YI [BEBENG/04W/0704]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 11 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 12 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 12 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #016
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON MAN-YI (BEBENG) CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH
OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA...NOW
A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM..AIMING FOR OKINAWA & KYUSHU,
JAPAN.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: MAN-YI is expected to continue OVER THE WARMER WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA...NOW
A CATEGORY TWO SYSTEM..AIMING FOR OKINAWA & KYUSHU,
JAPAN.
intensifying as it traverses the Northern Philippine
Sea & shall move in a generally NW'ly track for the
next 2 days. Majority of the computer forecast models
remains the same, showing a path towards Okinawa-
Southern Japan area this weekend (Jul 13 to 15). The
2 to 4-day long-range forecast (Jul 13 to 15) shows
the system becoming a Category 4 Typhoon (220 km/hr)
as it passes very close to the East of Okinawa, Japan
Friday afternoon, Jul 13 (around 2 PM HK Time) and
shall accelerate NE to ENE passing along the beach-
front-coastal areas of Kyushu, Shikoku & Honshu. The
eye of MAN-YI is forecast to make landfall over Sou-
thern Honshu or just to the South of Kyoto, Japan by
Sunday afternoon, Jul 15. During its forecast passage
over Southern Japan, MAN-YI is likely to become an
Extratropical Cyclone.
+ EFFECTS: MAN-YI's over-all circulation remains large
and continues to cover most of the Philippine Sea and
portions of Micronesia. Overcast skies with moderate
to heavy rains & gale-force winds of 55-65 km/hr is
expected along the affected areas within the outer
circulation.
+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: The advance 2 to 3-day
forecast shows the typhoon enhancing moderate to strong
Southwest (SW) Monsoon over most of the Philippines begi-
nning today July 11 extending thru the weekend (Thu to
Sat). Cloudy skies with intermittent passing rains or
thunderstorms can be expected across the country w/ SW'ly
winds of 30 km/hr or higher, becoming more frequent along
the Western sections of the Philippines including Metro
Manila, Subic Bay, Pangasinan, Palawan, Mindoro, Panay &
Negros. Mudslides and flooding is likely along river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of Western Philippines. Stay
tuned for more Monsoon updates in the coming hours.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 11 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.0º N...LONGITUDE 132.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,050 KM (567 NM) SSE OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 1,100 KM (595 NM) NE OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,130 KM (610 NM) EAST OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,125 KM (607 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)DISTANCE 4: 1,125 KM (607 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 33 KM/HR (18 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: OKINAWA-KYUSHU AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,035 KM (560 NM)/ VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 30 FEET (9.1 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME JULY 11
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 JULY: 18.3N 132.2E / 165-110 KPH / NW @ 26 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.5N 130.3E / 185-230 KPH / NNW @ 22 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 JULY POSITION: 16.1N 134.2E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 04W (MAN-YI) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AT A
LESS-THAN-CLIMATOLO
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING EYE. A
TRMM IMAGE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DISPLAY A
WELL-DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE EVIDENT AT 37 GHZ WITH AND DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING PRESENT IN ALL QUADRANTS AND WRAPPING
INTO THE CENTER..
>> MAN-YI {pronounced: mun~yi}, meaning: Name of a strait ori-
ginally. With the construction of a dam, that part of the
sea has become a reservoir. Name contributed by: Hong Kong.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 JULY: 17.3N 132.9E / NW @ 26 KPH / 140 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on Typhoon MAN-YI (BEBENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on Typhoon MAN-YI (BEBENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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