Saturday, May 19, 2007

Typhoon YUTU (AMANG) - Update #05


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005 
Name: TYPHOON YUTU [AMANG/02W/0702] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 19 MAY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SAT 19 MAY 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
YUTU (AMANG) BECOMES THE SECOND TYPHOON OF THE 2007
SEASON...NOW HEADING SLIGHTLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...NOT
A THREAT TO THE PHILIPPINES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YUTU is expected to turn towards the
North this afternoon and shall start recurving to the NE
beginning tomorrow. The 2 to 3-day long range forecast
(May 21-22) shows YUTU weakening as it passes over Iwo
Jima Island Tuesday early morning, May 22. Based on this
latest forecast run, this typhoon will not affect any
part of the Philippines


+ EFFECTS: N/A.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 14.5º N...LONGITUDE 132.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 920 KM (497 NM) ENE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 1,040 KM (562 NM) ENE OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,260 KM (680 NM) EAST OF METRO MANILA, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,160 KM (627 NM) ESE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 630 KM (340 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM PST SAT MAY 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 MAY: 15.8N 132.3E / 150-185 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 MAY: 17.4N 132.7E / 165-205 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 MAY POSITION: 14.1N 133.0E.
^RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT A DISTINCT EYE FEATURE,
LENDING ELEVATED CONFIDENCE TO THE ANALYZED STORM POSITION.
TY YUTU IS TRACKING TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE
KOREAN PENINSULA AND NORTHEASTERN CHINA. THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE PRIMARY STEERING
RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TY YUTU WILL CREST THE RIDGE AXIS AROUND
24
HRS AND, THEREAFTER, BEGIN ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
IN THE STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN THE STEERING RIDGE AND THE
AFORMENTIONED TROUGH. THE SYSTEM WILL DIRECTLY INTERACT WITH
THIS TROUGH AFTER 48 HRS AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSI-
TION...(more info)

>> YUTU {pronounced: yu~tu}, meaning: The Jade Hare. The 
   hare which lives on the moon. Chang'e, wife of Yi (a 
   tribal chief in ancient China), stole her husband's 
   elixir of immortality, and fled to the moon together 
   with the hare. They are said to be still living there 
   in a palace. Name contributed by: China.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 MAY: 14.3N 133.0E / NNW @ 15 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY YUTU (AMANG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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