Sunday, December 10, 2006

Typhoon UTOR (SENIANG) hits Samar-Leyte... [Update #005]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 09 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 10 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
UTOR (SENIANG) BECOMES A TYPHOON AS IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER
GUIUAN, EASTERN SAMAR...JUST PASSED BY TACLOBAN CITY, LEYTE
.

...All interests in the Bicol Region (particularly the towns
surrounding Mayon Volcano), Eastern & Central Visayas should
closely monitor the progress
of Tropical Storm UTOR.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving West
to WNW passing along the Southern Coast of Masbate and shall
be near Roxas City early tomorrow morning around 2 AM, Dec
10. The eye shall be crossing Northern Panay passing very
close to Boracay Island Resort between 6-7 AM tomorrow. UTOR
is forecast to cross Calamian Group of Islands tomorrow af-
ternoon around 2 PM before moving away from the country into
the South China Sea. The 3 to 5-day long range forecast (Dec
12 to 14) shows UTOR intensifying further over the South
China Sea with projected winds of 185-km/hr (Category 3)
as it approaches the Coast of Vietnam Thursday evening


+ EFFECTS: UTOR's inner bands continues to affect the Islands
of Samar and Leyte and is now entering Masbate, Sorsogon &
portions of Albay. Its core (eye + eyewall) is now in the
vicinity of Biliran Island as it moves away from Tacloban,
heading towards Northern tip of Cebu and Southern Masbate.
Typhoon force winds with moderate to heavy rains can be
expected tonight along Masbate, Ticao Island & Northern
Visayas as the core of UTOR approaches. Meanwhile, its Outer
Bands continues to spread across Central & Southern Visayas
and the whole Bicol Region and has reached Southern Quezon, M
indoro, Batangas, Marinduque and Southern Metro Manila. 30
to 50 km/hr winds and rains can be expected along areas
affected by the outer bands
. People living around the
slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay especially along areas
where possible LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and
water) are located - must be evacuated now
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 09 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 11.3º N...LONGITUDE 124.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 35 KM (18 NM) WEST OF TACLOBAN CITY
DISTANCE 2: 155 KM (83 NM) SE OF MASBATE, MASBATE
DISTANCE 3: 310 KM (168 NM) SE OF BORACAY
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: MASBATE-NORTHERN PANAY
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM PST SAT DECEMBER 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - MASBATE, TICAO IS., ROMBLON, NORTHERN CEBU, SAMAR 
      & LEYTE INCLUDING BILIRAN & DINAGAT ISLANDS, NOR-
      THERN CEBU, NORTHERN NEGROS, NORTHERN ILOILO, 
      CAPIZ, BORACAY & AKLAN..

#02 - 
SORSOGON, ALBAY, BURIAS ISLAND, MINDORO PROVINCES, 
      REST OF ILOILO, ANTIQUE, REST OF NEGROS, GUIMARAS, 
      REST OF CEBU, BOHOL, CALAMIAN GROUP, CUYO AND SIARGAO 
      ISLANDS.

#01
- CATANDUANES, CAMARINES SUR, MARINDUQUE, SIQUIJOR, 
      NORTHERN PALAWAN, SURIGAO DEL NORTE AND CAMIGUIN ISLAND.
   

           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 DEC: 11.5N 122.9E / 100-130 KPH / W @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 DEC: 11.8N 120.7E / 120-150 KPH / W @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 11 DEC: 12.3N 117.2E / 165-205 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 09 DECEMBER POSITION: 11.2N 125.4E.

>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word 
   for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 09 DECEMBER: 11.3N 125.0E / WNW @ 22 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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