Tuesday, September 19, 2006

YAGI (16W) now a Typhoon...[Update #004]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON YAGI [16W/0614] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
YAGI (16W) BECOMES THE 9TH TYPHOON OF 2006...DRIFTING
SOUTHERLY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YAGI is expected to drift SW'ly for
the next 12 hours then intensify as it heads Westward
tomorrow. By Thursday morning (Sep 21), YAGI shall take
a turn towards the WNW and accelerate in the direction
of Iwo Jima Island. The 3 to 5-day (Sep 22-24) Long Range
Forecast shows the system moving WNW, turning more NW'ly,
passing close NE of Iwo Jima Island Saturday morning (Sep
23) & approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu Sunday
afternoon (Sep 24).
All interests in Iwo Jima & Marianas
should closely monitor the progress of this developing
tropical cyclone
. 

+ EFFECTS: At this moment, YAGI is not yet affecting any
Western Pacific islands
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.3º N...LONGITUDE 159.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 710 KM (385 NM) SE OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2:  1,555 KM (840 NM) NE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 1,730 KM (935 NM) NE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 4: 1,925 KM (1,040 NM) ESE OF IWO JIMA ISLAND
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SE @ 02 KM/HR (01 KT)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN PACIFIC
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 159.1E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 19.8N 157.9E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 153.3E / 150-185 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.4N 159.5E.
^TY YAGI IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK IN A SOUTHERLY DIREC-
TION AS IT CONTINUES IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. A SUB-
TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS REBUILDING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF HONSHU IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INFLUENCING THE
TRACK OF TY YAGI IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION AFTER 
12 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT
STEERING MECHANISM PAST 24 HOURS. INCREASED TRACK SPEED
WILL RESULT FROM THE DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGING
...
(more info)


>> YAGI {pronounced: ya~gi}, meaning:
Capricornus (goat). 
   
Name contributed by: Japan

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)

_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh..noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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