Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 15W

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W [UNNAMED]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 13 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 14 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #003
_______________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (UNNAMED) APPROACHING LANDFALL OFF
WESTERN GUANGDONG, CHINA...RAINS AND WINDS STILL PREVAILING
ACROSS THE AREA INCLUDING MACAU AND HONG KONG.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 15W is expected to continue moving WNW
for the next 24 to 36 hours and shall be moving across
Western Guangdong tonight around 7 PM HKT just to the ENE
of Zhanjiang, China. 15W shall dissipate rapidly tomorrow
as it continue moving inland across SW China.

+ EFFECTS: This depression is continues to affect Western
Guangdong including Hainan Island, Macau and Hong Kong.
Rains and winds can be expected over the mentioned
areas tonight.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon affec-
ting the coast of Eastern Vietnam. Cloudy skies, passing
rains & Southwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/hr with higher
gust can be expected.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch
changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.4º N...LONGITUDE 111.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 295 KM (160 NM) WSW OF HONG KONG, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) WSW OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 3: 115 KM (62 NM) ENE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 190 KM (102 NM) NE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS., CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG, CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 250 KM (135 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM HKT TIME WED SEPTEMBER 13
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 110.7E / 35-55 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 22.1N 109.7E / 25-45 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 21.3N 111.8E.
^TD 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL
STEERING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED NEAR TAIWAN...
(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | OFFLINE (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 15W...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.maybagyo.com/storm2.shtml

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph/storm2.shtml

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm