Tuesday, August 01, 2006

Typhoon KAEMI (GLENDA) - Update #12


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #12
Name: TYPHOON KAEMI [GLENDA/06W/0605] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 24 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 24 JULY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #024
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON KAEMI (GLENDA) WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES
THE BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS...MORE STORM SIGNALS RAISED.
STRONG MONSOON RAINS CONTINUES TO DUMP METRO MANILA AND
WESTERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The typhoon is expected to continue
moving WNW to NW'ly for the next 24 hours & shall make
landfall over Central Taiwan around 12 midnight tomorrow,
Tuesday (July 25). KAEMI is forecast to weaken & be down-
graded into a Tropical Storm after it crosses the rugged
terrain of Central Taiwan. It shall be over Taiwan Strait
tomorrow afternoon (Tue July 25) before making its 2nd
landfall along Fujian Province of China or in between the
cities of Xiamen & Fuzhou tomorrow evening around 8 PM.
The system shall rapidly dissipate by July 26 while tra-
versing the mountainous terrain of China Mainland.


+ EFFECTS: KAEMI's Inner Bands are now approaching the
Batanes Group of Islands...while its Outer Bands spreads
across the Extreme Northern Luzon provinces of Cagayan,
Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela and portions
of Southern Taiwan. Moderate to heavy rains with gale-
force winds of up to 60 km/hr may be expected along the
typhoon's outer bands. Meanwhile, increasing typhoon-force
winds (up to 130 km/hr) with very heavy rains can be ex-
pected along the core (eyewall) & inner bands of KAEMI.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal
tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering
waves...can be expected near and to the north of where the
center makes landfall in Taiwan. Deteriorating weather
conditions can be expected over Taiwan today as KAEMI's
core approaches
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Southwest (SW) Monsoon
continues to affect Luzon & Western Visayas becoming more
intense & rainy along Western Luzon (including Metro Mani-
la), Mindoro Island, Northern Palawan, Calamian Islands,
Romblon & Boracay Island Resort. Cloudy weather conditions
with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rainfall & very
rough seas can be expected over the affected areas today.
Southwesterly winds of 30 to 55 km/hr with higher gusts
may be expected along the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 24 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 21.3º N...LONGITUDE 124.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 235 KM (125 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 410 KM (220 NM) NE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 395 KM (213 NM) SE OF HUALIEN CITY, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 972 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 26 KM/HR (14 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 760 KM (410 NM)/LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MON JULY 24
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 -
 BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#02 - NORTHERN CAGAYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#01 - REST OF CAGAYAN, ILOCOS PROVINCES, APAYAO,
      KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCES, BENGUET, IFUGAO,
      ISABELA,
LA UNION & PANGASINAN
           
09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 24 JULY: 22.4N 122.8E / 130-160 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 25 JULY: 23.5N 121.1E / 120-150 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 24 JULY POSITION: 20.9N 124.5E.
^THE STORM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE LAST 12 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THIS TRACK WILL PERSIST UNTIL THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS SLIGHTLY AT 36 HOURS CAUSING
TY KAEMI TO TRACK MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER CENTRAL
TAIWAN. TY KAEMI WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN CHINA BY 48 HOURS
AND CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND THROUGH 72 HOURS.
..
(more info)

>> KAEMI {pronounced: gae~mi}, meaning: An ant. A very 
   small insect that lives in highly organized groups. 
   It often appears in Korean fairy tales as a symbol 
   of diligence. Name contributed by: Republic of Korea.
_________________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 24 JULY: 20.7N 123.9E / WNW @ 19 KPH / 150 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
 
LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: 
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh....noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TY KAEMI (GLENDA)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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