Wednesday, June 28, 2006

TS JELAWAT (DOMENG) - Update #07


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #07
Name: TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT [DOMENG/03W/0602] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 28 JUNE 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 28 JUNE 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (DOMENG) ACCLERATES WEST-NORTHWEST
BRINGING ITS CORE CLOSE TO HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA..INTENSIFYING
RAPIDLY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: JELAWAT is expected turn more north-north-
westerly before passing very close to the NE Coast of Hainan
Island this afternoon around 2 PM HK Time (06 GMT). The core
is forecast to make landfall over Western Guangdong early
tomorrow morning around 3 AM local time and is likely to
reach sustained winds of 95-kph prior to landfall
.

+ EFFECTS: JELAWAT's main core has become more compact with its
Inner Bands well offshore to the east of Hainan. Latest satellite
photo reveals a developing "Eye" which shows that JELAWAT is
still intensifying. The storm's Outer Bands is now buffeting
Hainan and nearby Coastal Guangdong. These bands particularly the
inner bands are expected to bring moderate to heavy torrential
rains with strong winds that could produce flying debris, life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides along river banks, low-
lying areas and mountain slopes over the affected areas. Residents
residing along the coastal beachfront areas of Hainan and Guangdong
are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible high waves from
the sea. Coastal Storm Surge flooding from 1 to 3 feet can be expec-
ted along the path of this intensifying storm, thereby advising all
sea vessels to remain at port and avoid passing over it
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest Monsoon is still being drawn
by this storm towards Palawan Island, Philippines. The affected
area(s) will continue to experience cloudy skies with light to
moderate/heavy rains today
.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: A new Low Pressure Area (aka. Tropical
Disturbance) has been spotted organizing just to the East Coast
of Mindanao some 430 km SE of Surigao City (7.6N 128.7E). This
system will be monitored closely for possible development into
a Tropical Cyclone. Please stay tuned.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 28 JUNE
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 18.9º N...LONGITUDE 112.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 180 KM (97 NM) ESE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA
DISTANCE 2:  240 KM (130 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA
DISTANCE 3:  430 KM (232 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 991 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HAINAN-WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 150 KM (80 NM)/MIDGET
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM WED JUNE 28
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 28 JUNE: 19.8N 111.3E / 95-120 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 29 JUNE: 21.2N 110.9E / 85-100 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 28 JUNE POSITION: 18.6N 112.5E.
^ TS JELAWAT CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE STRONG
SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ANCHORED NEAR OKINAWA.
THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH AND
ORIENTATION FOR THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS, STEERING TS 
JELAWAT NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD YANGJIANG, CHINA.
LANDFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AROUND 36 HRS. THE
SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO SLOW OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS
COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH MODEL
GUIDANCE
.(more info)

>> JELAWAT {pronounced: jer~la~wa~t}, meaning: Also known 
   as Sultan fish. This fresh-water carp fish is normally 
   found in big rivers. It is a very tasty fish and very 
   much sought after by gourmets. Name contributed by: 
   
Malaysia

_______________________________________________________________________
 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART
:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the 
      highest. Red letters indicate new areas being hoisted. For more 
      explanations on these signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on 
   this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TS JELAWAT (DOMENG/03W)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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