Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Tropical Storm MEGI (HELEN) Final Update

 

Tropical Storm MEGI (HELEN) Final Update


TROPICAL STORM MEGI (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 013**FINAL**
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 28 September 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

MEGI (HELEN) is now outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and has weakened into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it makes its last landfall over Fujian Province in Southeastern China.

MEGI (HELEN) will rapidly dissipate and eventually become just a remnant low pressure over the mountains of Southeastern China within the next 24 hours.

This is the Final Update on this Tropical Cyclone.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat)will still bring occasional rains with thunderstorms and gusty winds not exceeding 40 km/hr across the Western Sections of Central Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas today. Sea travel for small to medium size sea crafts at this time will be risky across the area.

Where is Megi (Helen)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 28...2100 GMT. The center was located over Fujian Province, China (near 25.3N 118.5E), about 98 km north-northeast of Xiamen City, China or 637 km northwest of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 90 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West-Northwest @ 17 kph, across Fujian Province, Southeastern China.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.

None.

 

 

Storm Surge Info

None.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into a remnant area of low pressure while moving westward across the mountains if Fujian Province...about 216 km west-northwest of Xiamen City, China [2AM SEP 29: 25.4N 116.2E @ 30kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info


- 24 hr. Rainfall Accumulation: 25 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 975 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 695 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):N/A.

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Sept 28, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 25.3º N Lat 118.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km SW of Fuzhou, China 
Distance 2: 314 km WNW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 550 km ENE of Hong Kong, China
Distance 4: 819 km NNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1229 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 012

 

Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 012


TYPHOON MEGI (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 012
Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Tuesday 27 September 2016
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 28 September 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

The core of Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) has accelerated rapidly and made landfall over Hualien County, Eastern Taiwan between 1:30-2:00 PM this afternoon...currently weakening as it emerges over the west coast of Northwestern Taiwan.  The whole of Taiwan remains under the damaging winds (>100 km/hr winds) of this typhoon.

MEGI (HELEN) is forecast to move westward at a decreased forward speed of 17 kph within the next 24 hours. Its center is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later tonight and will make its final landfall along Fujian Province by early tomorrow morning (Sept 28).  The typhoon will continue to rapidly lose strength as it interacts with the mountains of Southeastern China.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat)will bring occasional rains with thunderstorms and gusty winds not exceeding 40 km/hr across the Western Sections of Central Luzon, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas today. Sea travel for small to medium size sea crafts at this time will be risky across the area.

Where is Megi (Helen)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 27...0900 GMT. The center was located over the Northwestern Coasts of Taichung City and Miaoli County, Taiwan (near 24.5N 120.5E), about 42 km north-northwest of Taichung City, Taiwan or 471 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving Northwest @ 38 kph, towards Taiwan Strait and Southeastern China.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.

Batanes Group of Islands – now until this evening.

 

 

Storm Surge Info

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 meters (3 to 10 feet) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas ofBatanes Island Group – now until this evening.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Traversing Fujian Province of China after making its last landfall, weakens into a minimal Tropical Storm (TS) as it turns westward...about 123 km west-northwest of Xiamen City, China [2PM SEP 28: 24.7N 116.9E @ 70kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Turns northward across the northern part of Fujian Province as it dissipates rapidly into an area of low pressure…about 308 km northwest of Fuzhou City, China [2PM SEP 29: 27.3N 116.5E @ 20kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info


- 24 hr. Rainfall Accumulation: 25 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 750 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):150 km from the center.

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Sep 26, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 24.5º N Lat 120.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 124 km WSW of Taipei, Taiwan 
Distance 2: 125 km NW of Hualien City, Taiwan
Distance 3: 243 km E of Xiamen City, China
Distance 4: 700 km N of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1113 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 011

 

Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 011


TYPHOON MEGI (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tuesday 27 September 2016
Next Update: Tuesday Evening, 27 September 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

MEGI (HELEN) has maintained its strength as it moves closer to Eastern Taiwan...endangering the island. Its southern outer rain bands continue to affect the Batanes Group of Islands.

This typhoon is forecast to continue moving West-Northwest within the next 24 hours towards Central Taiwan at a speed of 22 km/hr.  Its core (eye & eyewall) is expected to make landfall along Mid-Eastern Taiwan this afternoon (between 2:00-4:00 PM).  MEGI (HELEN) will lose strength as it starts interacting with the mountains of Taiwan.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring occasional rains and gusty winds not exceeding 50 km/hr across MiMaRoPa andVisayas. Sea travel for small to medium size sea crafts at this time will be risky across the area.

Where is Megi (Helen)?

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, September 27...0300 GMT. The eye was located over the mid-western part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 23.5N 122.5E), about 340 km north of Basco, Batanes or 106 km east-southeast of Hualien City, Taiwan.

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 170 kph near the center...Gustiness: 215 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving Northwest @ 21 kph towards the mid portion of Eastern Taiwan.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.

Batanes Group of Islands – now until this evening (Sep 27).

 

 

 

Storm Surge Info

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 meters (3 to 10 feet) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas ofBatanes Island Group – now until this evening (Sep 27).

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY MORNING: Rapidly weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it makes its final landfall over Fujian Province, China…about 13 km north of Xiamen City, China[8AM SEP 28: 24.6N 118.1E @ 85kph]Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

THURSDAY MORNING: Rapidly dissipates into an area of Low Pressure after traversing the mountain ranges of Fujian Province…about 62 km east-southeast of GanzhouCity, China [8AM SEP 29: 25.6N 115.5E @35kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

 

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info


- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 320 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 948 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 775 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):220 km from the center.

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Tue Sep 27, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.5º N Lat 122.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 192 km WSW of Ishigakijima, Japan
Distance 2: 308 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 242 km ENE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan

Distance 4: 557 km N of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 996 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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